RESULTS OF THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL-2014 ON PRE-TERM ELECTIONS TO VERKHOVNA RADA OF UKRAINE AS OF 8 PM

 

Parties

Ukraine, %

1

Party "Petro Poroshenko's Block"

23,1

2

Political Party "People's Front"

21,2

3

Political Party "Union "Self-Help"

13,4

4

Political Party "Opposition Block"

7,6

5

Oleh Liashko's Radical Party

6,4

6

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Union "Freedom"

6,3

7

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Union "Motherland"

5,5

8

Political Party "Civic Position (Anatolii Hrytsenko)"

3,5

9

Communist party of Ukraine

2,8

10

Serhii Tihipko's Party "Strong Ukraine"

2,6

11

Political Party "Right Sector"

2,5

12

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Agrarian Union "Spade"

1,8

13

Party "Solidarity of Women of Ukraine"

0,6

14

Political Party "5.10"

0,5

15

Political Party "Internet Party of Ukraine"

0,4

16

Ukrainian Party "Green Planet"

0,3

17

Party of Greens of Ukraine

0,2

18

Political Party "Single Country"

0,2

19

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Political Union "Ukraine Is a Single Country"

0,2

20

Party "Renaissance"

0,2

21

Political Party "People's Force"

0,1

22

Political Party "Force and Honesty"

0,1

23

Political Party "Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists"

0,1

24

Political Party "Block of Left Forces of Ukraine"

0,1

25

Political Party "New Politics"

0,1

26

Political Party "Ukraine of Future"

0,1

27

Political Party "National Democratic Party of Ukraine"

0,1

28

Political Party "Civic Movement of Ukraine"

0,1

29

Liberal Party of Ukraine

0,0

 

   
 

 

 

Ukraine in Total

West

Center

Southern

East

Party "Petro Poroshenko's Block"

23,1

22,8

26,8

21,2

15,0

Political Party "People's Front"

21,2

31,1

22,0

13,0

10,2

Political Party "Union "Self-Help"

13,4

15,3

14,3

11,4

9,0

Political Party "Opposition Block"

7,6

0,7

2,5

14,8

28,8

Oleh Liashko's Radical Party

6,4

6,1

7,6

5,0

6,2

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Union "Freedom"

6,3

7,9

7,2

4,6

2,4

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Union "Motherland"

5,5

5,1

5,9

5,9

4,2

Political Party "Civic Position (Anatolii Hrytsenko)"

3,5

3,6

3,5

3,3

3,0

Communist party of Ukraine

2,8

0,6

1,5

6,0

6,8

Serhii Tihipko's Party "Strong Ukraine"

2,6

0,7

1,5

5,6

5,1

Political Party "Right Sector"

2,5

2,5

2,3

2,7

2,5

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Agrarian Union "Spade"

1,8

1,9

1,7

1,8

1,6

Party "Solidarity of Women of Ukraine"

0,6

0,4

0,5

0,8

1,2

Political Party "5.10"

0,5

0,2

0,6

0,7

0,4

Political Party "Internet Party of Ukraine"

0,4

0,1

0,4

0,7

0,7

Ukrainian Party "Green Planet"

0,3

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,3

Party of Greens of Ukraine

0,2

0,2

0,2

0,3

0,5

Political Party "Single Country"

0,2

0,1

0,2

0,2

0,9

Political Party "All-Ukrainian Political Union "Ukraine Is a Single Country"

0,2

0,1

0,2

0,2

0,1

Party "Renaissance"

0,2

0,1

0,1

0,3

0,2

Political Party "People's Force"

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,1

Political Party "Force and Honesty"

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,2

0,0

Political Party "Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists"

0,1

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,2

Political Party "Block of Left Forces of Ukraine"

0,1

0,0

0,1

0,1

0,2

Political Party "New Politics"

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,2

0,0

Political Party "Ukraine of Future"

0,1

0,0

0,1

0,1

0,2

Political Party "National Democratic Party of Ukraine"

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,1

Political Party "Civic Movement of Ukraine"

0,1

0,0

0,0

0,1

0,2

Liberal Party of Ukraine

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,1

0,0

 

On October 26, 2014, the day of pre-term parliamentary elections, the National Exit Poll-2014 Consortium which is made up of Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF), Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) and Oleksandr Razumkov Economic and Political Studies Center (Razumkov Centre) has conducted the National Exit Poll-2014.

DIF is responsible for financial and media management of the exit poll. KIIS is responsible for scientific management of the project, development of the sample, and coordination of the polling. The polling of voters at the exits of polling stations has been conducted by the KIIS and Razumkov Center.

Citizens who voted at polling stations (except for special polling stations) made up total population of exit poll. 17,779 respondents were polled at 400 polling stations. The methodology of “secret ballot” was used. 

Statistical sample error doesn’t exceed 2.5% for the leading parties (in terms of received votes) and is within the limits of 0.5-1% for other parties. 

 

Chief supervisor – Iryna Bekeshkina.

Scientific supervisor – Natalia Kharchenko.

Polling manager at KIIS – Anton Grushetskyi.

Polling managers at Razumkov Centre – Andrii Bychenko, Mykhailo Mishchenko.

Consultant – Volodymyr Paniotto.

 

International observers over exit poll and foreign consultants:

Joanna Konieczna-Sałamatin – expert at the Institute for Public Affairs, fellow at the Institute of Sociology at the Warsaw University (Poland).

Kateryna Kozerenko – expert-consultant at Levada Centre (Russia).

Veronika Bizyukova - expert-consultant at Levada Centre (Russia).

The National exit poll was conducted with financial support of international donors: International Renaissance Foundation, Matra program of the Kingdom of the Netherlands Embassy in Ukraine, the National Endowment for Democracy (USA), PACT project of UNITER (Ukraine National Initiatives to Enhance Reforms), and the European Union.

 

RESULTS OF THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL-2014 ON PRE-TERM ELECTIONS TO VERKHOVNA RADA OF UKRAINE AS OF 6 PM


 

Parties

Ukraine, %

1

Party “Petro Poroshenko’s Block”

23.0

2

Political Party “People’s Front”

21,3

3

Political Party “Union “Self-Help”

13.2

4

Political Party “Opposition Block”

7.6

5

Oleh Liashko’s Radical Party

6.4

6

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Union “Freedom”

6.3

7

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Union “Motherland”

5.6

8

Political Party “Civic Position (Anatolii Hrytsenko)”

3.5

9

Communist party of Ukraine

2.9

10

Serhii Tihipko’s Party “Strong Ukraine”

      2.6

11

Political Party “Right Sector”

2.4

12

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Agrarian Union “Spade”

1.8

13

Party “Solidarity of Women of Ukraine”

0.6

14

Political Party “Internet Party of Ukraine”

0.4

15

Party “Renaissance”

0.2

16

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Political Union “Ukraine Is a Single Country”

0.2

17

Ukrainian Party “Green Planet”

0.3

18

Political Party “5.10”

0.5

19

Political Party “New Politics”

0.1

20

Political Party “Single Country”

0.2

21

Political Party “National Democratic Party of Ukraine”

0.1

22

Political Party “Ukraine of Future”

0.1

23

Political Party “People’s Force”

0.1

24

Liberal Party of Ukraine

0.0

25

Party of Greens of Ukraine

0.2

26

Political Party “Force and Honesty”

0.1

27

Political Party “Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists”

0.1

28

Political Party “Block of Left Forces of Ukraine”

        0.1

29

Political Party “Civic Movement of Ukraine”

        0.0

 

Crossed out all of them or spoiled the ballot

 

 

Don’t remember

 

 

 

On October 26, 2014, the day of pre-term parliamentary elections, the National Exit Poll-2014 Consortium which is made up of Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF), Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) and Oleksandr Razumkov Economic and Political Studies Center (Razumkov Centre) has conducted the National Exit Poll-2014.

DIF is responsible for financial and media management of the exit poll. KIIS is responsible for scientific management of the project, development of the sample, and coordination of the polling. The polling of voters at the exits of polling stations has been conducted by the KIIS and Razumkov Center.

Citizens who voted at polling stations (except for special polling stations) made up total population of exit poll. 16,643 respondents were polled at 400 polling stations. The methodology of “secret ballot” was used. 

Statistical sample error doesn’t exceed 2.5% for the leading parties (in terms of received votes) and is within the limits of 0.5-1% for other parties. 

 

 

Chief supervisor – Iryna Bekeshkina.

Scientific supervisor – Natalia Kharchenko.

Polling manager at KIIS – Anton Grushetskyi.

Polling managers at Razumkov Centre – Andrii Bychenko, Mykhailo Mishchenko.

Consultant – Volodymyr Paniotto.

 

International observers over exit poll and foreign consultants:

Joanna Konieczna-Sałamatin – expert at the Institute for Public Affairs, fellow at the Institute of Sociology at the Warsaw University (Poland).

Kateryna Kozerenko – expert-consultant at Levada Centre (Russia).

Veronika Bizyukova - expert-consultant at Levada Centre (Russia).

 

The National exit poll was conducted with financial support of international donors: International Renaissance Foundation, Matra program of the Kingdom of the Netherlands Embassy in Ukraine, the National Endowment for Democracy (USA), PACT project of UNITER (Ukraine National Initiatives to Enhance Reforms), and the European Union.